Stat Geek – Volume 1
10-13-17
We at 3PAK love to keep things simple, but we also love stats. So occasionally we goober through the mounds of data we have to see if we can find any information that might help players in a salary based league. We’ll start with some easy stuff and then see where we go.
The information below is based on pure statistics and nothing concerning this week’s match ups or who’s distracted because of a looming suspension, etc. We simply crunched the data into a simple and easy to use format that hopefully everyone will find useful.
Save Me the Money
In a salary based game like 3PAK, you have to make every dollar count. So you have to get players that maximize points scored verses dollars spent. The PPG (Point Per Game) value next to each player is that average points scored by that player per game this season. So you want to pick a player with the highest PPG for the least amount of money. For instance, this week Jered Goff and Trever Siemian both have a salary value of $7,500, but Goff averages 10.99 PPG while Siemian averages 14.6 ppg. Siemian has 32% more value than Goff. This week’s match up probably affects the salary, but the PPG doesn’t lie. You can use this approach for any player at any position!
Defenses
We love defenses because their never injured, you can actually cheer for a particular team verses just a player and their cheap. The following are the top 9 defenses in fantasy points scored and the list might surprise you:
Team |
PPG |
Week 6 Salary |
Salary/PPG |
Jacksonville |
16.4 |
$4,900 |
2.98 |
Detroit |
12.2 |
$4,500 |
3.75 |
Baltimore |
10.6 |
$4,900 |
4.62 |
Pittsburg |
9.8 |
$4,600 |
4.70 |
Buffalo |
9.8 |
Bye |
|
Seattle |
9.6 |
Bye |
|
LA Rams |
9.4 |
$4,900 |
5.21 |
Washington |
9.3 |
$4,700 |
5.05 |
Kansas City |
9.0 |
$4,800 |
5.33 |
That’s not a typo, yes Jacksonville and Detroit. Pittsburg is a bargain too. Here is another case of value; Jacksonville and Baltimore cost the same but the Jags are a 150% value over the Ravens.
Some defenses are givers. You won’t find this info from the player selection screen. The following are 6 defenses that give up the most fantasy points to their opponents so far this year:
Team |
PPG |
New England |
108 |
Indy |
98 |
Tampa Bay |
93 |
Dallas |
92 |
Tennessee |
92 |
San Francisco |
90 |
So in a pinch, find players from teams that are playing AGAINST the above teams.
Targets per player
Sometime you’ll hear people talk about targets. Targets are the number of times a QB throws a ball to a Running Back, Tight End or Receiver. The higher the targets, the higher the opportunity a player has to score. Targets inside the Red Zone (20 yards from the goal line) are even more important. In short, the number of targets reflect where the QB of a team likes to go when it’s time to score. Let find out
Red Zone Targets, Wide Receiver (6 minimum)
Player |
Targets |
Salary |
L Fitzgerald, Arz |
10 |
$6,600 |
D Adams, GB |
10 |
$7,200 |
D Bryant, Dal |
9 |
Bye |
C Hogan, NE |
9 |
$7,500 |
J Nelson, GB |
8 |
$8,100 |
A Hurns, Jax |
8 |
$5,700 |
C Kupp, LAR |
8 |
$5,900 |
A Cooper, Oak |
7 |
$6,400 |
D Hopkins, Hou |
7 |
$8,000 |
K Allen, LAC |
7 |
$7,200 |
J Smith-Schuster, Pit |
7 |
$5,200 |
A Brown, Pit |
6 |
$9,200 |
M Gordan, LAC |
6 |
$8,400 |
T Hilton, Indy |
6 |
$7,800 |
E Sanders, Den |
6 |
$6,700 |
Schuster has more Red Zone targets than Brown at half the cost? If you need a value pick, you might take a look at some of the above players.
Red Zone Targets, Tight Ends (6 minimum)
Player |
Targets |
Salary |
T Kelce, KC |
7 |
$7,200 |
J Witten, Dal |
6 |
Bye |
Z Miller, Chi |
6 |
$5,000 |
R Gronkowski, NE |
6 |
$8,000 |
Z Ertz, Phi |
6 |
$7,000 |
G Kittle, SF |
6 |
$5,300 |
J Graham, Sea |
6 |
Bye |
C Brate, TB |
6 |
$5,900 |
Tight Ends get targeted almost as much as Receivers and trade at a little bit of a discount
Red Zone Carries, Running Backs (10 minimum)
Player |
Carries |
Salary |
PPG |
L Bell, Pit |
22 |
$9,000 |
18.2 |
M Gillislee, NE |
18 |
$6,200 |
11.4 |
C Hyde, SF |
18 |
$6,700 |
11.3 |
E Elliott, Dal |
17 |
Bye |
|
T Gurley, LAR |
17 |
$8,400 |
15.8 |
L Fournette, Jax |
16 |
$8,600 |
16.6 |
D Freeman, Atl |
14 |
$8,500 |
15.9 |
J Allen, Balt |
14 |
$5,800 |
11.0 |
K Hunt, KC |
14 |
$9,300 |
16.9 |
C Anderson, Den |
13 |
$7,000 |
13.7 |
L McCoy, Buf |
12 |
Bye |
|
J Stewart, Car |
11 |
$5,400 |
9.2 |
L Miller, Hou |
10 |
$6,800 |
12.9 |
F Gore, Indy |
10 |
$5,800 |
7.9 |
M Gordan, LAC |
10 |
$8,400 |
14.3 |
L Blount, Phi |
10 |
$5,600 |
8.1 |
Decent options at the top for under $6,700 salary.
So that’s it for now from Geek Town. We hope you found some of the above helpful. We might put out a few more additions later this year. Let us know what you think. Good Luck!